Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.579126 9.530773 10.570311 11.794566 13.202511 14.777607 16.682243
2025-11-30 7.212633 8.454261 9.906426 11.745844 14.035902 16.822662 20.516234
2025-12-07 6.218502 7.542726 9.161311 11.312795 14.139651 17.787798 22.953786
2025-12-14 5.441874 6.773451 8.456600 10.779053 13.963119 18.271442 24.714755
2025-12-21 4.947715 6.297884 8.055315 10.561842 14.132285 19.177359 27.117817
2025-12-28 4.956412 6.470687 8.508603 11.528345 16.027253 22.721955 33.937024
2026-01-04 4.727958 6.294167 8.457328 11.760543 16.861581 24.779004 38.749634
2026-01-11 4.377505 5.916083 8.084235 11.474076 16.860093 25.508321 41.432751
2026-01-18 4.229120 5.811931 8.093002 11.755423 17.766497 27.804314 47.237918
2026-01-25 3.970581 5.527144 7.809534 11.550684 17.849885 28.703076 50.588572
2026-02-01 3.751593 5.285692 7.572154 11.394446 17.990073 29.704490 54.294948
2026-02-08 3.553217 5.062258 7.345643 11.233552 18.099208 30.651218 58.043940
2026-02-15 3.335837 4.803848 7.057882 10.965119 18.023355 31.303769 61.444527
2026-02-22 3.181683 4.634982 6.901895 10.908569 18.328743 32.742061 66.930116
2026-03-01 2.972990 4.367656 6.568444 10.514518 17.959191 32.771144 69.110249
2026-03-08 2.763401 4.088006 6.198281 10.027373 17.363882 32.258021 69.863084
2026-03-15 2.625192 3.916387 5.997472 9.828987 17.311208 32.886398 73.656524
2026-03-22 2.691743 4.081377 6.372050 10.711035 19.508450 38.762270 93.019414
2026-03-29 2.636458 4.040321 6.388981 10.922680 20.350032 41.701195 105.056706
2026-04-05 2.508215 3.869757 6.169127 10.661556 20.156147 42.143677 109.652383
2026-04-12 2.469187 3.848926 6.212822 10.918014 21.116493 45.574078 124.871695
2026-04-19 2.366047 3.712531 6.040895 10.731401 21.066594 46.428985 131.717399
2026-04-26 2.275741 3.594434 5.895987 10.588943 21.103260 47.519235 139.776549